Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#16 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2026; Diana Shnaider leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 2 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 15, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +31.4% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.03u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Maria's 40%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 76 57 06 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 63 61 | W 61 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 26 62 64 | L 64 67 16 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 64 61 | L 46 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 61 | W 60 63 |
| Katie Volynets | W 75 75 | W 62 64 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 61 06 | L 16 26 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 36 60 | L 57 46 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 76 76 | W 63 75 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 26 67 | L 26 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–60 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 50% |
| Sets won | 55% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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