Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#13 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleDiana Shnaider and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2026; Diana Shnaider leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 2 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 22/38 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 15, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.35u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Maria's 40%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Janice Tjen | W 60 64 | W 63 62 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 26 76 36 | L 76 36 26 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 26 76 36 | L 76 26 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 76 57 06 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 63 61 | W 61 62 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 64 61 | L 46 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 61 | W 60 63 |
| Katie Volynets | W 75 75 | W 62 64 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 61 06 | L 16 26 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 36 60 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–60 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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