Denis Yevseyev vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π°πΏDenis Yevseyev
#440 Β· 33 yrs Β· R
2 meetings Β· sets 2β3

πΊπΈReilly Opelka
#153 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
14wDenis Yevseyev and Reilly Opelka have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Hangzhou in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Yevseyev has taken 2 sets to Opelka's 3. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yevseyev | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Yevseyev | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 17/33 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 16/38 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 32/71 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 14/33 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yevseyev 0, Opelka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yevseyev
π§± The Wall
Opelka
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs π§± The Wall across 386 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Reilly Opelka.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 8, 2025
's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 17, 2024
Hangzhou
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Yevseyev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β10 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | - |
| ROI % | -58.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -8.13u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yevseyev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 4 | β |
| Distance | β | β |
| Route | TUR β GER | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen Β· 2nd Round
Aug 20
Matteo Covato
M25 Ueberlingen Β· 1st Round
Aug 18
Matej Dodig
Hamburg Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 11
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Vadym Ursu
Samsun Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Tuncay Duran
Samsun Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Guy Den Ouden
Bunschoten Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Gerard Campana Lee
Bunschoten challenger
Jul 13
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris Β· 1st Round
May 24
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona Β· 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona Β· Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo Β· Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami Β· 1st Round
Mar 19
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 27β71 matches
| Metric | Yevseyev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 48% |
| Sets won | 47% | 51% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yevseyev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yevseyev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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