Denis Yevseyev vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Yevseyev and Reilly Opelka have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Hangzhou in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Yevseyev has taken 2 sets to Opelka's 3. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yevseyev | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Yevseyev | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 14/38 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 29/71 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 15/33 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 11/28 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 67% | 8/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yevseyev 0, Opelka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yevseyev
🪃 Counterpuncher
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Reilly Opelka.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 8, 2025
's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 17, 2024
Hangzhou
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yevseyev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.54 | - |
| ROI % | -18.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | - |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Petr Bar Biryukov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Hanyi Liu
Shanghai Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Svyatoslav Gulin
Augsburg Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Mirza Basic
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Matteo Covato
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–71 matches
| Metric | Yevseyev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 52% |
| Sets won | 47% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yevseyev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yevseyev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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