Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Rinky Hijikata have met 2 times since 2023; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 2–0. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 4 sets to Hijikata's 2. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 29% | 9/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 38% | 30/79 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 73% | 27/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 0, Hijikata 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Hijikata
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Denis Shapovalov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 3, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +15.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | +2.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Shapovalov and Hijikata posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | W 36 76 76 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 61 64 | W 63 63 61 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | L 46 26 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 64 62 | W 64 63 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 46 | W 46 75 76 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | W 64 46 76 | W 63 60 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 60 76 | W 75 67 61 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 57 36 | L 57 26 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 26 76 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Darwin Blanch
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Luciano Darderi
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Gael Monfils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jaume Munar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–83 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 59% |
| Sets won | 44% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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