Dayana Yastremska vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#103 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleDayana Yastremska and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2021; Dayana Yastremska leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Tokyo in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Yastremska has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 5 sets to Fernandez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Dayana Yastremska won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 2, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 7, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 20, 2025
Rothesay Open - Nottingham
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jul 24, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -14.7% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +5.15u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Yastremska and Fernandez posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 06 | W 64 36 63 |
| Maja Chwalinska | W 63 61 | W 16 64 62 |
| Talia Gibson | W 76 76 | W 75 60 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 75 26 36 | L 61 46 36 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 62 | W 63 62 |
| Janice Tjen | L 62 36 67 | L 16 67 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | L 26 67 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 76 | L 46 46 |
| Ann Li | W 75 46 63 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 76 36 | L 76 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–58 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 55% |
| Sets won | 48% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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