Dayana Yastremska vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#112 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
33 meetings · sets 5–2
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2021; Dayana Yastremska leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Tokyo in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Yastremska has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 5 sets to Fernandez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Dayana Yastremska won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 14/39 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 2, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Dayana Yastremska and Leylah Fernandez are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 7, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 20, 2025
Rothesay Open - Nottingham
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jul 24, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -51.6% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,304 mi · 2,098 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Yastremska has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Fernandez's 13%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Janice Tjen | L 62 36 67 | L 16 67 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | L 26 67 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 76 | L 46 46 |
| Ann Li | W 75 46 63 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 76 36 | L 76 46 67 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 16 | L 36 06 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 75 26 36 | L 26 26 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 06 16 | L 75 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alicia Dudeney
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ajla Tomljanovic
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 9
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–51 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 49% |
| Sets won | 47% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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