Dayana Yastremska vs Diana ShnaiderPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#112 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
33 meetings · sets 2–4
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#16 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Diana Shnaider have met 3 times since 2024; Diana Shnaider leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg in 2024 on grass. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 2 sets to Shnaider's 4. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Shnaider | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Diana Shnaider | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 14/39 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 53% | 19/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 77% | 20/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 1, Shnaider 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 21, 2025
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
May 28, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 26, 2024
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Shnaider | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Diana Shnaider | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | -51.6% | +36.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | +6.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 10 |
| Distance | 1,304 mi · 2,098 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | POL → AUT | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Yastremska's 30%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 76 36 | L 46 46 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 16 26 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 75 26 36 | W 63 63 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 36 76 26 | W 36 75 61 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 63 63 | W 26 63 63 |
| Talia Gibson | W 76 76 | W 57 61 61 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 76 36 | L 26 67 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 61 62 | W 63 60 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 46 | L 67 36 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 06 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alicia Dudeney
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ajla Tomljanovic
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 9
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–54 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 57% |
| Sets won | 47% | 55% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.