Daria Saville vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Saville
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
66w33 meetings · sets 2–5
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Saville and Madison Keys have met 3 times since 2016; Madison Keys leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup WG R1: AUS vs USA in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Keys leads 2–1. Across all meetings Saville has taken 2 sets to Keys's 5. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Saville | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Saville | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 75% | 24/32 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 53% | 8/15 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 34% | 16/47 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 59% | 22/37 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 38% | 3/8 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 45% | 5/11 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 83% | 25/30 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 80% | 24/30 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Saville 0, Keys 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Saville
🪃 Counterpuncher
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 17, 2017
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 16, 2016
Fed Cup WG R1: AUS vs USA
C Clay · Round Robin
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Saville | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.44 |
| ROI % | - | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Saville | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Katie Boulter
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 2nd Round
May 14
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round
May 12
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Catalonia Open - Vic · 1st Round
Apr 28
Linda Fruhvirtova
Puerto Vallarta Open - Puerto Vallarta · 2nd Round
Mar 26
Olivia Gadecki
Puerto Vallarta Open - Puerto Vallarta · 1st Round
Mar 24
Emiliana Arango
Merida Open Akron - Merida · Semifinals
Mar 1
Anhelina Kalinina
Merida Open Akron - Merida · 2nd Round
Feb 26
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–47 matches
| Metric | Saville | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 68% |
| Sets won | - | 65% |
| Games won | - | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Saville | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| BJK Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Saville | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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