Daria Kasatkina vs Yue YuanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇨🇳Yue Yuan
#138 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4wDaria Kasatkina and Yue Yuan have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 3 sets to Yuan's 3. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Yue Yuan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 49% | 19/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Yuan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Yuan
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 26, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Mar 13, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Yue Yuan | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -83.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -5.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Kasatkina and Yuan posted a 14% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | L 63 46 16 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 67 26 | L 46 26 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | L 36 64 26 |
| Robin Montgomery | L 75 06 46 | L 76 67 16 |
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | W 62 60 | W 46 62 76 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | L 64 06 57 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Elizara Yaneva
Polish Open - Warsaw · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alana Smith
Polish Open - Warsaw · 1st Round
Aug 3
Nikola Bartunkova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Aliona Falei
Enka Open - Istanbul · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jeline Vandromme
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Katerina Siniakova
Berlin
Jun 15
Robin Montgomery
Hertogenbosch
Jun 6
Mayar Sherif
Parma Ladies Open - Parma · 1st Round
May 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–39 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 44% |
| Sets won | 47% | 47% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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