Daria Kasatkina vs Yue YuanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇨🇳Yue Yuan
#141 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Yue Yuan have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 3 sets to Yuan's 3. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Yue Yuan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 50% | 28/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 33% | 11/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 52% | 15/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Yuan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Yuan
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yue Yuan.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 26, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Mar 13, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Yue Yuan | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -37.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -4.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Kasatkina and Yuan posted a 22% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | W 26 62 61 | W 46 62 76 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | L 26 36 |
| Alana Smith | W 46 64 60 | W 61 64 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | L 63 46 16 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | L 36 64 26 |
| Robin Montgomery | L 75 06 46 | L 76 67 16 |
| Simona Waltert | L 67 63 46 | L 26 61 57 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | L 64 06 57 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Caty Mcnally
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Oleksandra Oliynykova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Dayeon Back
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mary Stoiana
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Hanyu Guo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Julia Avdeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–56 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 46% |
| Sets won | 51% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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