Daria Kasatkina vs Ye Xin MaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
- Level
- WTA 500
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 24 · 12:30 AM ET
Daria Kasatkina and Ye Xin Ma meet next at the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo on October 24 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Xin Ma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Ye Xin Ma | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 21/43 | 24% | 8/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ma
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,989 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ye Xin Ma.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Kasatkina and Ma have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Ma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Ye Xin Ma | ||
| 1 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Ma |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -47.2% | +7.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.66u | +0.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 2,215 mi · 3,565 km | — |
| Route | ROU → CZE → FRA → POR | POR → ROU → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Kasatkina and Ma posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 1st Round
Oct 19
Jelena Ostapenko
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 13
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elvina Kalieva
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Polina Kudermetova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Harriet Dart
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yufei Ren
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kimberly Birrell
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Emerson Jones
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Eunhye Lee
Korea Open - Seoul · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Carol Zhao
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–43 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 57% |
| Sets won | 50% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |