Daria Kasatkina vs Venus WilliamsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–6
🇺🇸Venus Williams
#611 · 45 yrs · Right-Handed
14Daria Kasatkina and Venus Williams have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Auckland in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2–1. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 5 sets to Williams's 6. Their most recent meeting: Venus Williams won at Miami (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Williams | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Venus Williams | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Williams 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Williams
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Venus Williams.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2019
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 10, 2018
Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 29, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Jan 6, 2016
Auckland
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 0–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 4.35 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Williams's 0%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Emiliana Arango | W 62 36 76 | L 26 26 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Anastasia Potapova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Irina Camelia Begu
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Kaitlin Quevedo
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 21
Francesca Jones
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Diane Parry
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Ajla Tomljanovic
ATX Open - Austin · 1st Round
Feb 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 0% |
| Sets won | 47% | 15% |
| Games won | 49% | 38% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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