Daria Kasatkina vs Venus WilliamsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊDaria Kasatkina
#82 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 5β6
πΊπΈVenus Williams
#596 Β· 45 yrs Β· Right-Handed
6wDaria Kasatkina and Venus Williams have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Auckland in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2β1. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 5 sets to Williams's 6. Their most recent meeting: Venus Williams won at Miami (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Williams | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Venus Williams | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Williams 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
πͺ Counterpuncher
Williams
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
πͺ Counterpuncher vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2019
Miami
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Mar 10, 2018
Indian Wells
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Jun 29, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass Β· Round of 32
Jan 6, 2016
Auckland
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β6 | 0β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 4.97 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 4 | β |
| Distance | 3,433 mi Β· 5,525 km | β |
| Route | SGP β ROU β CZE | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Williams's 0%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Emiliana Arango | W 62 36 76 | L 26 26 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 2
Anastasia Potapova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Irina Camelia Begu
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Kaitlin Quevedo
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 1st Round
Apr 21
Francesca Jones
Miami Open - Miami Β· 1st Round
Mar 19
Diane Parry
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 12β41 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 0% |
| Sets won | 51% | 14% |
| Games won | 51% | 38% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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