Daria Kasatkina vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–4
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wDaria Kasatkina and Varvara Gracheva have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 4 sets to Gracheva's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Gracheva 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Varvara Gracheva.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 13, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 15, 2021
Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | - |
| ROI % | -31.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Kasatkina and Gracheva posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | W 46 76 64 | W 61 26 61 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 57 06 | W 64 60 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 57 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 76 64 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | L 67 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–41 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 53% |
| Sets won | 51% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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