Daria Kasatkina vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–4
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wDaria Kasatkina and Varvara Gracheva have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 4 sets to Gracheva's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Gracheva 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 13, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 15, 2021
Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | - |
| ROI % | -51.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Gracheva's 25%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 57 26 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | L 46 06 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 76 64 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | L 67 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 38% |
| Sets won | 47% | 36% |
| Games won | 49% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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