Daria Kasatkina vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊDaria Kasatkina
#59 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 3β2

πΊπΈTaylor Townsend
#95 Β· 30 yrs Β· Left-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Taylor Townsend have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 3 sets to Townsend's 2. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Townsend won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 75% | 9/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Townsend 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
πͺ Counterpuncher
Townsend
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Taylor Townsend.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 15, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Aug 3, 2022
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3β7 | 4β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.75 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -7.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -0.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Kasatkina and Townsend posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 36 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 16 62 36 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | L 67 57 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Marie Bouzkova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tereza Valentova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 21
Martina Trevisan
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 24β35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 50% |
| Sets won | 47% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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