Daria Kasatkina vs Sonay KartalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇬🇧Sonay Kartal
#170 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Sonay Kartal have met 2 times since 2025; Sonay Kartal leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at LTA London Championships - London in 2025 on grass. Kartal has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 1 sets to Kartal's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sonay Kartal won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Kartal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Sonay Kartal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 80% | 12/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Kartal 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kartal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sonay Kartal.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 27, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 9, 2025
LTA London Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | +16.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | +0.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Kasatkina and Kartal posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Charaeva | W 46 60 64 | L 46 16 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 57 06 | L 46 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | L 67 16 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 61 67 63 |
| Simona Waltert | L 67 63 46 | W 75 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anhelina Kalinina
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xin Yu Wang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 4th Round
Mar 11
Madison Keys
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 9
Emma Navarro
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Lanlana Tararudee
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–41 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 70% |
| Sets won | 51% | 66% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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