Daria Kasatkina vs Sonay KartalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇬🇧Sonay Kartal
#123 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
25wDaria Kasatkina and Sonay Kartal have met 2 times since 2025; Sonay Kartal leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at LTA London Championships - London in 2025 on grass. Kartal has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 1 sets to Kartal's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sonay Kartal won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Kartal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Sonay Kartal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 92% | 12/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Kartal 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kartal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 27, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 9, 2025
LTA London Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | - |
| ROI % | -51.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Kasatkina and Kartal posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | L 67 16 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 61 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Madison Keys
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 9
Emma Navarro
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Lanlana Tararudee
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Magda Linette
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Sara Bejlek
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · Quarterfinals
Feb 5
Renata Zarazua
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 2nd Round
Feb 4
Cristina Bucsa
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 1st Round
Feb 2
Anna Kalinskaya
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 65% |
| Sets won | 47% | 63% |
| Games won | 49% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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