Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 8–10
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#125 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin have met 7 times since 2018; Sofia Kenin leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Miami in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 3–3. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 8 sets to Kenin's 10. Their most recent meeting: Sofia Kenin won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 40% | 6/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Kenin 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 476 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sofia Kenin.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 8, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 25, 2024
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 31, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 10, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 20, 2019
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 21, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -63.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Kenin's 14%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | W 46 76 64 | L 26 64 36 |
| Alina Charaeva | W 46 60 64 | L 63 67 46 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | L 36 16 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | L 63 16 36 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | L 36 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | L 46 06 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 46 63 60 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alina Charaeva
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–41 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 27% |
| Sets won | 51% | 35% |
| Games won | 51% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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