Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 8–10
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#110 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin have met 7 times since 2018; Sofia Kenin leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Miami in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 3–3. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 8 sets to Kenin's 10. Their most recent meeting: Sofia Kenin won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 43% | 6/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Kenin 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 385 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sofia Kenin.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 8, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 25, 2024
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 31, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 10, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 20, 2019
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 21, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -32.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -2.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kenin's 25%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | L 16 06 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | L 36 16 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | L 63 16 36 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | L 36 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | L 46 06 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 67 26 | L 61 46 16 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 26 63 75 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 46 63 60 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daria Snigur
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Viktorija Golubic
Nottingham
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–36 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 33% |
| Sets won | 47% | 38% |
| Games won | 49% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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