Daria Kasatkina vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 7–9
🇺🇸Sloane Stephens
#208 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
4Daria Kasatkina and Sloane Stephens have met 6 times since 2016; Sloane Stephens leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Charleston in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Stephens leads 3–0. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2–1. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 7 sets to Stephens's 9. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Stephens 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 69% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,396 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daria Kasatkina.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 18, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 18, 2021
Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 1, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 7, 2018
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 8, 2016
Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | +0.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 4 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 1,730 mi · 2,784 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | ECU → CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stephens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kasatkina's 0%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Sinja Kraus
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Solana Sierra
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Yuliia Starodubtseva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 28% |
| Sets won | 47% | 33% |
| Games won | 49% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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