Daria Kasatkina vs Roberta VinciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#59 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 6โ4
๐ฎ๐นRoberta Vinci
Unranked ยท 43 yrs ยท Right-Handed
433wDaria Kasatkina and Roberta Vinci have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Doha in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 6 sets to Vinci's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Toronto (2017).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Vinci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Roberta Vinci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Vinci 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Vinci
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 9, 2017
Toronto
H Hard ยท Round of 64
May 10, 2017
Madrid
C Clay ยท Round of 64
Jul 28, 2016
Montreal
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Feb 24, 2016
Doha
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Vinci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | - |
| ROI % | -51.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Vinci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Aleksandra Krunic
Rome ยท Round of 64
May 16
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Budapest ยท Round of 32
Feb 21
Julia Goerges
St. Petersburg ยท Round of 16
Feb 1
Tereza Martincova
St. Petersburg ยท Round of 32
Jan 31
Christina Mchale
Wuhan ยท Round of 64
Sep 27
Sloane Stephens
US Open ยท Round of 128
Aug 29
Magda Linette
New Haven ยท Round of 32
Aug 23
Timea Babos
Cincinnati ยท Round of 64
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 35โ35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Vinci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | - |
| Sets won | 47% | - |
| Games won | 49% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Vinci |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Vinci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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