Daria Kasatkina vs Polina KudermetovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇺🇿Polina Kudermetova
#102 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Polina Kudermetova have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane International - Brisbane in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 3 sets to Kudermetova's 2. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Kudermetova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Polina Kudermetova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 39% | 24/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Kudermetova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kudermetova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Polina Kudermetova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 10, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 2, 2025
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Kudermetova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Polina Kudermetova | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.66 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -10.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -1.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kudermetova's 50%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | L 06 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | L 36 36 |
| Alina Charaeva | W 46 60 64 | W 46 64 61 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 46 63 60 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Katie Volynets
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Clara Tauson
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Ye Xin Ma
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Kamilla Rakhimova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Linda Fruhvirtova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 13
Carol Young Suh Lee
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–61 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 62% |
| Sets won | 51% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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