Daria Kasatkina vs Polina KudermetovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊDaria Kasatkina
#59 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 3β2

πΊπΏPolina Kudermetova
#96 Β· 23 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4wDaria Kasatkina and Polina Kudermetova have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane International - Brisbane in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 3 sets to Kudermetova's 2. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Kudermetova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Polina Kudermetova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Kudermetova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
πͺ Counterpuncher
Kudermetova
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Polina Kudermetova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 10, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jan 2, 2025
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Kudermetova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Polina Kudermetova | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3β7 | 6β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -2.5% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -0.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kudermetova's 40%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | L 06 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | L 36 36 |
| Alina Charaeva | W 46 60 64 | W 46 64 61 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 46 63 60 | W 76 62 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 2nd Round
Jul 31
Cristina Bucsa
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Maria Sakkari
Athens Open - Athens Β· 1st Round
Jul 13
Liv Boulard
Contrexeville WTA
Jul 5
Liudmila Samsonova
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Alina Charaeva
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Clervie Ngounoue
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Jessika Ponchet
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 35β47 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 57% |
| Sets won | 47% | 56% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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