Daria Kasatkina vs Olivia GadeckiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#82 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฆ๐บOlivia Gadecki
#396 ยท 24 yrs ยท Right-Handed
24wDaria Kasatkina and Olivia Gadecki have met 1 time since 2025; Daria Kasatkina leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Gadecki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Gadecki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Olivia Gadecki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Gadecki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Gadecki
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Olivia Gadecki.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 6, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Gadecki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | - |
| ROI % | -31.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Gadecki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km | โ |
| Route | SGP โ ROU โ CZE | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Gadecki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kasatkina's 33%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Gadecki |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 62 | W 63 75 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | L 26 62 26 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Himeno Sakatsume
W100 Gifu ยท 1st Round
Apr 29
Harriet Dart
W100 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Apr 21
Aliona Bolsova
W75 Trnava 2 ยท 1st Round
Mar 4
Katherine Sebov
W75 Trnava 1 ยท 2nd Round
Feb 26
Isabella Shinikova
W75 Trnava 1 ยท 1st Round
Feb 24
Sloane Stephens
Australian Open - Melbourne ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 14
Arantxa Rus
Australian Open - Melbourne ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Mirra Andreeva
Brisbane International - Brisbane ยท 2nd Round
Jan 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 21โ41 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Gadecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 52% |
| Sets won | 51% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Gadecki |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Gadecki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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