Daria Kasatkina vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#65 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Kessler's 3. Their most recent meeting: Mccartney Kessler won at Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Kessler 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2026
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 24, 2024
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -4.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kessler has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | L 36 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 67 36 | L 67 06 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | L 26 76 46 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 62 61 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | L 16 67 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | L 16 16 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | W 60 36 64 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 76 61 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 62 36 76 | W 63 62 |
| Simona Waltert | L 67 63 46 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anhelina Kalinina
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–44 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 48% |
| Sets won | 47% | 49% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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