Daria Kasatkina vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#95 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
7wDaria Kasatkina and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Kessler's 3. Their most recent meeting: Mccartney Kessler won at Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Kessler 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mccartney Kessler.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2026
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 24, 2024
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kessler's 40%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | L 36 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 67 36 | L 67 06 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | L 26 76 46 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 62 61 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | L 16 67 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | L 16 16 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | W 60 36 64 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 76 61 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 62 36 76 | W 63 62 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–43 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 49% |
| Sets won | 51% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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