Daria Kasatkina vs Marie BouzkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#59 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ1

๐จ๐ฟMarie Bouzkova
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Marie Bouzkova have met 2 times since 2021; Daria Kasatkina leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2โ0. Kasatkina has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kasatkina leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 4 sets to Bouzkova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Bouzkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Marie Bouzkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 19% | 10/52 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 84% | 26/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Bouzkova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Bouzkova
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marie Bouzkova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 11, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Feb 19, 2021
Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Bouzkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Marie Bouzkova | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ7 | 11โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | +1.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bouzkova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kasatkina's 33%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | L 46 46 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 46 76 64 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | W 64 63 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | L 36 57 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 67 26 | W 76 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lucrezia Stefanini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tereza Valentova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Carol Young Suh Lee
Livesport Prague Open - Prague ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Livesport Prague Open - Prague ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 35โ52 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 60% |
| Sets won | 47% | 59% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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