Daria Kasatkina vs Mariam BolkvadzePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#82 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1
๐ฌ๐ชMariam Bolkvadze
#338 ยท 28 yrs ยท Left-Handed
3Daria Kasatkina and Mariam Bolkvadze have met 1 time since 2026; Daria Kasatkina leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Bolkvadze's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Bolkvadze | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Mariam Bolkvadze | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 73% | 11/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Bolkvadze 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Bolkvadze
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 25, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Bolkvadze | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Mariam Bolkvadze | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Bolkvadze |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ6 | 4โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.56 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | +7.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | +0.70u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Bolkvadze |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km | โ |
| Route | SGP โ ROU โ CZE | ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Kasatkina and Bolkvadze posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Bolkvadze |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | W 61 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Bianca Andreescu
Samsun Open - Samsun ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Leolia Jeanjean
Samsun Open - Samsun ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Mariia Tkacheva
Samsun Open - Samsun ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Alya Naz Altinel
Samsun Open - Samsun ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alevtina Ibragimova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Erika Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Kallista Liu
W100 Landisville ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 29โ41 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Bolkvadze |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 59% |
| Sets won | 51% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Bolkvadze |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Bolkvadze |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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