Daria Kasatkina vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#82 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 6โ1

๐ต๐ฑMagdalena Frech
#56 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Magdalena Frech have met 3 times since 2019; Daria Kasatkina leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Dubai in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2โ0. Kasatkina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 6 sets to Frech's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 57% | 13/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Frech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Frech
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Magdalena Frech.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Aug 24, 2022
Championnats Banque Nationale - Granby
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2019
Dubai
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Magdalena Frech | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ6 | 7โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 3.10 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -2.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km | 8,184 mi ยท 13,171 km |
| Route | SGP โ ROU โ CZE | UKR โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Frech has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kasatkina's 30%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 46 63 60 | W |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | L 26 26 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 57 06 | W 67 64 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 46 67 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 64 63 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | L 67 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | L 46 16 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | L 62 46 26 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | L 46 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 63 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Aoi Ito
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Moyuka Uchijima
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elsa Jacquemot
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 2nd Round
Sep 16
Nao Hibino
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ44 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 43% |
| Sets won | 51% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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