Daria Kasatkina vs Lucia BronzettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–4
🇮🇹Lucia Bronzetti
#135 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3Daria Kasatkina and Lucia Bronzetti have met 2 times since 2024; Lucia Bronzetti leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Bronzetti leads 2–0. Bronzetti has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Bronzetti's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lucia Bronzetti won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Bronzetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Lucia Bronzetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 32% | 10/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 33% | 21/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Bronzetti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bronzetti
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Daria Kasatkina and Lucia Bronzetti are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 15,398 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 19, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Bronzetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Lucia Bronzetti | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -25.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -3.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | GER → ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bronzetti's 20%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | W 26 62 61 | W 63 26 75 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | L 63 36 46 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | L 36 75 46 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 46 63 60 | L 46 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 75 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Fiona Crawley
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round
Oct 5
Lois Boisson
Adana Open - Adana · 1st Round
Sep 29
Irene Burillo
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 7
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Luisina Giovannini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Laura Samson
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alevtina Ibragimova
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–64 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 52% |
| Sets won | 51% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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