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Head-to-Head

Daria Kasatkina vs Lucia BronzettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Daria Kasatkina

🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina

#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed

0–2

2 meetings · sets 2–4

Lucia Bronzetti

🇮🇹Lucia Bronzetti

#135 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed

4w

Daria Kasatkina and Lucia Bronzetti have met 2 times since 2024; Lucia Bronzetti leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Bronzetti leads 2–0. Bronzetti has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Bronzetti's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lucia Bronzetti won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorKasatkinaBronzetti
Wins in straight sets60%72%
Wins a set when losing55%30%
Goes to a deciding set49%29%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite28%48%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog70%52%
Tiebreak sets won33%50%
Wins after taking set 173%86%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 160%72%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Bronzetti 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Kasatkina

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance
vs

Bronzetti

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

Both Daria Kasatkina and Lucia Bronzetti are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 14,668 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Aug 10, 2025

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 2nd Round

36
61
46
Bronzetti

Feb 19, 2024

Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai

H Hard · 1st Round

657
64
57
Bronzetti

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeKasatkinaBronzetti
1 or more89%67%
3 or more33%8%
5 or more0%0%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricKasatkinaBronzetti
W-L3–720–7
Avg odds2.441.56
ROI %-51.7%+9.2%
Units P/L-5.17u+2.49u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricKasatkinaBronzetti
Countries21
Events21
Matches22
Distance411 mi · 662 km0 mi · 0 km
RouteCAN → POLMKD

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bronzetti's 20%).

OpponentKasatkinaBronzetti
Xinyu Wang
W
16
76
75
L
46
57
Sara Sorribes Tormo
W
62
60
W
63
26
75
Mccartney Kessler
L
36
67
L
36
75
46
Moyuka Uchijima
W
46
63
60
L
46
46
Anastasia Potapova
L
57
64
46
L
75
46
57

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Kasatkina
LLWLLWWL
L

Zeynep Sonmez

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

62
647
36

Aug 13

L

Elena Rybakina

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

36
75
46

Aug 5

W

Xinyu Wang

National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round

16
765
75

Aug 4

L

Anna Kalinskaya

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round

46
16

Jul 28

L

Naomi Osaka

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

16
36

Jul 3

W

Janice Tjen

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

657
61
64

Jul 1

W

Mingge Xu

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

62
36
62

Jun 29

L

Mccartney Kessler

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round

36
637

Jun 22

Bronzetti
LWWWLWWW
L

Laura Samson

Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Semifinals

57
46

Aug 1

W

Sara Sorribes Tormo

Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Quarterfinals

63
26
75

Jul 31

W

Alevtina Ibragimova

Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round

63
62

Jul 30

W

Miriana Tona

Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round

62
62

Jul 28

L

Fiona Ferro

Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Semifinals

26
36

Jul 25

W

Yasmine Kabbaj

Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Quarterfinals

63
26
60

Jul 24

W

Dalila Spiteri

Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 2nd Round

64
64

Jul 23

W

Ilary Pistola

Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round

61
64

Jul 21

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ KasatkinaBronzetti ahead↓ Bronzetti

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–59 matches

MetricKasatkinaBronzetti
Matches won43%49%
Sets won47%50%
Games won49%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageKasatkinaBronzetti
WTA 100002

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceKasatkinaBronzetti
Hard02

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Daria Kasatkina vs Lucia Bronzetti FAQ

Lucia Bronzetti leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.