Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Liudmila Samsonova have met 3 times since 2025; Liudmila Samsonova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 3 sets to Samsonova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Samsonova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Liudmila Samsonova.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 18, 2026
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 5, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Mar 10, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | +11.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | +1.81u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Samsonova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 46 64 46 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | W 62 62 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 76 75 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | L 67 16 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 67 26 | W 63 75 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | L 61 36 06 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | L 36 26 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 36 26 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 64 63 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 62 36 76 | W 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–41 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 44% |
| Sets won | 47% | 48% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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