Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#82 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 3โ4

๐ท๐บLiudmila Samsonova
#43 ยท 27 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Liudmila Samsonova have met 3 times since 2025; Liudmila Samsonova leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 3 sets to Samsonova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 46% | 13/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Samsonova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Samsonova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 18, 2026
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jul 5, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 3rd Round
Mar 10, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ6 | 10โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | +20.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | +3.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km | 7,530 mi ยท 12,118 km |
| Route | SGP โ ROU โ CZE | UKR โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Samsonova's 40%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 57 06 | W 64 64 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | L 67 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 46 64 46 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | W 62 62 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 76 75 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | L 67 16 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | L 61 36 06 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 36 26 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 64 63 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | L 60 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marta Kostyuk
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Elsa Jacquemot
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ44 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 45% |
| Sets won | 51% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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