Daria Kasatkina vs Lesia TsurenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–2
🇺🇦Lesia Tsurenko
Unranked · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
93wDaria Kasatkina and Lesia Tsurenko have met 4 times since 2018; Daria Kasatkina leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Birmingham in 2018 on grass. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2–0. Kasatkina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 7 sets to Tsurenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Tsurenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Lesia Tsurenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 3, Tsurenko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tsurenko
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Daria Kasatkina and Lesia Tsurenko are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 14,668 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 30, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 17, 2018
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 26, 2018
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 21, 2018
Birmingham
G Grass · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | - |
| ROI % | -51.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Sinja Kraus
Billie Jean King Cup, PO, UKR-AUT 3-2 · Rubber 3
Nov 17
Tamira Paszek
Billie Jean King Cup, PO, UKR-AUT 3-2 · Rubber 1
Nov 16
Rebecca Marino
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland · Semifinals
Nov 9
Karina Miller
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland · Quarterfinals
Nov 8
Jil Teichmann
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland · 2nd Round
Nov 6
Tamara Zidansek
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland · 1st Round
Nov 4
Katie Boulter
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 8
Viktoriya Tomova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | - |
| Sets won | 47% | - |
| Games won | 49% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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