Daria Kasatkina vs Laura SiegemundPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇩🇪Laura Siegemund
#102 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
9w3Daria Kasatkina and Laura Siegemund have met 3 times since 2016; Daria Kasatkina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2–0. Kasatkina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 6 sets to Siegemund's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Siegemund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Laura Siegemund | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Siegemund 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Siegemund
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 385 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Laura Siegemund.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 16, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 8, 2017
Charleston
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 11, 2016
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -66.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -2.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Siegemund's 20%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | L 36 67 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | L 26 46 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 06 75 64 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | L 46 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Amanda Anisimova
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Francesca Jones
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Naomi Osaka
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Karolina Pliskova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Sara Bejlek
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 38% |
| Sets won | 47% | 41% |
| Games won | 49% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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