Daria Kasatkina vs Garbine MuguruzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 8–8
🇪🇸Garbine Muguruza
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
187wDaria Kasatkina and Garbine Muguruza have met 6 times since 2015; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Marrakech in 2015 on clay. On hard courts they are level 2–2. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 8 sets to Muguruza's 8. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Muguruza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Garbine Muguruza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Muguruza 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Muguruza
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Garbine Muguruza.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 23, 2020
Qatar Total Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
May 10, 2018
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 24, 2018
Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 5, 2017
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 29, 2015
Marrakech
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | - |
| ROI % | -51.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Linda Noskova
Open 6 Sens - Lyon · 1st Round
Jan 30
Elise Mertens
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 17
Belinda Bencic
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 9
Bianca Andreescu
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 1
Liudmila Samsonova
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 23
Despina Papamichail
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 21
Petra Kvitova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 3
Linda Fruhvirtova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | - |
| Sets won | 47% | - |
| Games won | 49% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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