Daria Kasatkina vs Emerson JonesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇺Emerson Jones
#126 · 17 yrs · Right-Handed
4wDaria Kasatkina and Emerson Jones have met 1 time since 2025; Daria Kasatkina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Jones's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Emerson Jones | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 10/19 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 16/34 | 28% | 16/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 63% | 24/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 81% | 29/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Jones 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Jones
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Emerson Jones.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Emerson Jones | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -51.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -4.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Jones's 0%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 16 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Lanlana Tararudee
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Madison Brengle
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carol Zhao
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Ayana Akli
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 22
Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Dalma Galfi
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 1st Round
Jun 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–58 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 66% |
| Sets won | 48% | 63% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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