Daria Kasatkina vs Emerson JonesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇺Emerson Jones
#122 · 17 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Emerson Jones have met 1 time since 2025; Daria Kasatkina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Jones's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Emerson Jones | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 72% | 28/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 31% | 20/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 55% | 23/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Jones 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Jones
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,750 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Emerson Jones.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Emerson Jones | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -39.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -5.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | POR → CHN → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Jones's 25%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | W 61 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 16 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | L 46 16 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Zhuoxuan Bai
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mai Hontama
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alexandra Shubladze
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · Semifinals
Oct 3
Kyoka Okamura
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Unknown Player
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Haruka Kaji
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round
Sep 28
Ye Xin Ma
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Suzan Lamens
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–64 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 61% |
| Sets won | 51% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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