Daria Kasatkina vs Elina SvitolinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
8 meetings · sets 2–16
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#6 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Elina Svitolina have met 8 times since 2016; Elina Svitolina leads 8–0. Their first meeting came at New Haven in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Svitolina leads 6–0. On clay courts Svitolina leads 2–0. Svitolina has won the last 8 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Svitolina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Svitolina's 16. Their most recent meeting: Elina Svitolina won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Svitolina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Elina Svitolina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 62% | 28/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 36% | 21/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 54% | 25/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 35/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 80% | 28/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Svitolina 6).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Svitolina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Aug 2, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 4, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Sep 3, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 1, 2019
San Jose
H Hard · Round of 16
May 17, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 25, 2018
Dubai
H Hard · Final
Aug 9, 2017
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 24, 2016
New Haven
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Svitolina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Elina Svitolina | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -1.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kasatkina's 20%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 62 63 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 64 75 |
| Paula Badosa | L 64 67 46 | W |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | L 36 62 36 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 36 61 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W 61 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | W 26 64 64 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | L 57 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 36 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Maria Sakkari
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Solana Sierra
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–59 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 76% |
| Sets won | 51% | 68% |
| Games won | 51% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 4 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 6 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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