Daria Kasatkina vs Elina SvitolinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
8 meetings · sets 2–16
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#9 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Elina Svitolina have met 8 times since 2016; Elina Svitolina leads 8–0. Their first meeting came at New Haven in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Svitolina leads 6–0. On clay courts Svitolina leads 2–0. Svitolina has won the last 8 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Svitolina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Svitolina's 16. Their most recent meeting: Elina Svitolina won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Svitolina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Elina Svitolina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 61% | 25/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 37% | 20/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 54% | 21/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 97% | 31/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Svitolina 6).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Svitolina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Aug 2, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 4, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Sep 3, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 1, 2019
San Jose
H Hard · Round of 16
May 17, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 25, 2018
Dubai
H Hard · Final
Aug 9, 2017
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 24, 2016
New Haven
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Svitolina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Elina Svitolina | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -18.9% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -2.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 8 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kasatkina's 30%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 36 61 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W 61 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | W 26 64 64 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | L 46 36 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | L 57 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 36 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | L 26 36 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | W 26 63 75 | W 62 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | W 62 63 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 76 46 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Amanda Anisimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–54 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 76% |
| Sets won | 47% | 67% |
| Games won | 49% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 4 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 6 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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