Daria Kasatkina vs Diane ParryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#59 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ1

๐ซ๐ทDiane Parry
#50 ยท 23 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5Title4Daria Kasatkina and Diane Parry have met 2 times since 2022; Daria Kasatkina leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Championnats Banque Nationale - Granby in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2โ0. Kasatkina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 4 sets to Parry's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Parry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Diane Parry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 73% | 19/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Parry 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Parry
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Diane Parry.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 5, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 26, 2022
Championnats Banque Nationale - Granby
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Parry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Diane Parry | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Parry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ7 | 10โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | +10.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | +1.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Parry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 10 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL โ AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Parry has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Kasatkina's 43%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Parry |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | W 64 06 63 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 76 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 36 36 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | L 46 63 67 |
| Alina Charaeva | W 46 60 64 | W 76 76 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | W 26 63 75 | L 46 46 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Elise Mertens
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Final
Aug 30
Ann Li
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Donna Vekic
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Elise Mertens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 35โ45 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Parry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 60% |
| Sets won | 47% | 58% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Parry |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Parry |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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