Danka Kovinic vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇲🇪Danka Kovinic
#883 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Danka Kovinic and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2017; Jelena Ostapenko leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 3–0. Ostapenko has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kovinic has taken 1 sets to Ostapenko's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovinic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Danka Kovinic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 1/3 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 1/7 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 3/10 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 25% | 1/4 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovinic 0, Ostapenko 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovinic
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 1, 2021
Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 7, 2017
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Mar 1, 2017
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kovinic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Danka Kovinic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovinic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.53u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovinic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martha Matoula
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Julia Riera
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Noemi Basiletti
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 1st Round
Jul 14
Lisa Pigato
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 1st Round
Jul 1
Marie Vogt
Vaihingen ITF
Jun 30
Tena Lukas
Vaihingen ITF
Jun 29
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · 1st Round
Jun 16
Xiyu Wang
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–39 matches
| Metric | Kovinic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 30% | 56% |
| Sets won | 30% | 56% |
| Games won | 42% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovinic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovinic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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