Danka Kovinic vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇲🇪Danka Kovinic
#868 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
8w3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Danka Kovinic and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2017; Jelena Ostapenko leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 3–0. Ostapenko has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kovinic has taken 1 sets to Ostapenko's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovinic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Danka Kovinic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 1/3 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 1/7 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 3/10 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 25% | 1/4 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovinic 0, Ostapenko 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovinic
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Danka Kovinic and Jelena Ostapenko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 1, 2021
Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 7, 2017
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Mar 1, 2017
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovinic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovinic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sofya Lansere
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Martha Matoula
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Julia Riera
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Noemi Basiletti
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 1st Round
Jul 14
Lisa Pigato
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 1st Round
Jul 1
Marie Vogt
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Tena Lukas
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · 1st Round
Jun 16
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–42 matches
| Metric | Kovinic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 30% | 57% |
| Sets won | 30% | 57% |
| Games won | 42% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovinic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovinic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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