Danielle Collins vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Danielle Collins
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
53w4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Danielle Collins and Daria Kasatkina have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Collins has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Collins leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Collins has taken 5 sets to Kasatkina's 5. Their most recent meeting: Danielle Collins won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Collins | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Danielle Collins | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 60% | 9/15 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 55% | 11/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 49% | 17/35 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 28% | 7/25 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 70% | 7/10 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 33% | 4/12 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 73% | 11/15 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 60% | 9/15 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Collins 1, Kasatkina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Collins
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Danielle Collins.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 7, 2024
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · Final
Aug 8, 2021
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard · Final
Feb 18, 2021
Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
May 16, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Collins | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.44 |
| ROI % | - | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -5.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Collins | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaqueline Cristian
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 8
Coco Gauff
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Viktoriya Tomova
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 1st Round
Jul 27
Magda Linette
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 21
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 5
Veronika Erjavec
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 3
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 1
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–35 matches
| Metric | Collins | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 43% |
| Sets won | - | 47% |
| Games won | - | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Collins | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Collins | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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