Daniel Merida vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Ugo Humbert have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Merida leads 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 2 sets to Humbert's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 21/35 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/55 | 35% | 18/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 1, Humbert 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ugo Humbert.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +10.6% | -42.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.53u | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Humbert has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Merida's 44%).
| Opponent | Merida | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 61 36 46 | W 63 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 67 46 36 | L 57 76 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 62 64 64 | L 46 76 36 |
| Marin Cilic | W 36 61 61 | W 75 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 36 46 | L 76 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 36 57 26 | W 76 36 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 46 62 62 | W 63 64 63 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 46 26 | W 64 75 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 67 63 61 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–61 matches
| Metric | Merida | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 55% |
| Sets won | 58% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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