Daniel Merida vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Marin Cilic have met 2 times since 2025; Daniel Merida leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Murcia Challenger in 2025 on clay. Merida has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Merida has taken 4 sets to Cilic's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 21/35 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/55 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 1, Cilic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marin Cilic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 19, 2025
Murcia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +10.6% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.53u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Merida's 38%).
| Opponent | Merida | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 36 26 | W 75 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 63 63 | L 57 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 36 57 26 | L 16 26 46 |
| Marcos Giron | L 06 16 | W 75 64 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 36 16 | W 76 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 46 62 62 | W 63 62 |
| Otto Virtanen | W 76 57 75 | L 57 46 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 06 76 26 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–61 matches
| Metric | Merida | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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