Daniel Altmaier vs Holger RunePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Altmaier and Holger Rune have met 2 times since 2021; Holger Rune leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Biella 7 Challenger in 2021 on clay. Rune has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Altmaier has taken 1 sets to Rune's 4. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 7 · 5:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.46 or shorter, Holger Rune has won 105 of 139 (76%). The price implied 73%, so Holger Rune has beaten it by 3 points.
At 2.73 or longer, Daniel Altmaier has won 21 of 71 (30%). That is level with the 29% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Daniel Altmaier meets Holger Rune in the first round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 7, 2026, on hard court. Altmaier holds a ranking of 67; Rune sits at 195. The two have faced twice before, with Rune winning both encounters.
Altmaier has won one of his last five matches and is on a four-match losing streak. Rune arrives in Shanghai with stronger recent form, taking four of his last five and seven of his last ten. Both players competed once in the past two weeks. On hard court over a recent sample, Rune has posted a 65% win rate while Altmaier holds 25%.
Altmaier relies on his serve to dictate points and control rallies from the baseline. Rune generates power through his groundstrokes and constructs points aggressively from the back of the court. The matchup turns on whether Altmaier can build points through his service games and maintain consistency under pressure, or whether Rune's aggressive ball striking and current form prove too much to manage.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Altmaier | Rune | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Altmaier | Holger Rune | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 6/30 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 15/53 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 6/15 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 18/33 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 50% | 2/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Altmaier 0, Rune 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Altmaier
🤖 Servebot
Rune
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,823 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Nov 2, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 1, 2021
Biella 7 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Altmaier | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -19.6% | +10.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.55u | +0.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Altmaier | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Zachary Svajda
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Francisco Comesana
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Ugo Humbert
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–57 matches
| Metric | Altmaier | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 71% |
| Sets won | 41% | 61% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Altmaier | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Altmaier | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |