Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Damir Dzumhur and Mattia Bellucci have met 4 times since 2022; Damir Dzumhur leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Cordenons Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Dzumhur leads 2–1. Dzumhur has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Dzumhur has taken 6 sets to Bellucci's 3. Their most recent meeting: Damir Dzumhur won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dzumhur | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Damir Dzumhur | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 13/24 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/52 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 5/15 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 20/35 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dzumhur 2, Bellucci 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dzumhur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mattia Bellucci.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 22, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 8, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 24, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 4, 2022
Cordenons Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dzumhur | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Damir Dzumhur | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.69 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -6.6% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.59u | -1.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 10 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | POR | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bellucci has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Dzumhur's 50%).
| Opponent | Dzumhur | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Zsombor Piros | L 64 46 36 | W 64 62 60 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 64 16 16 | W 62 64 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 63 63 | W 76 76 |
| Geoffrey Blancaneaux | W 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Mikhail Kukushkin | W 62 61 | W 64 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 76 36 62 57 36 | W 62 67 61 |
| Quentin Halys | W 46 63 61 | L 36 67 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Georgii Kravchenko
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Moez Echargui
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Hubert Hurkacz
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Final
Jul 18
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–67 matches
| Metric | Dzumhur | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 54% |
| Sets won | 45% | 52% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dzumhur | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dzumhur | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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