Coco Gauff vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#5 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleCoco Gauff and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2023; Coco Gauff leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Gauff leads 2–0. Gauff has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 4 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Coco Gauff won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gauff | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Coco Gauff | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 30/49 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 12/16 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/65 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 30/41 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 2, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2023
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gauff | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Coco Gauff | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–3 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.30 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.88u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | UKR → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gauff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Maria's 40%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 36 36 | L 57 06 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 64 60 | L 76 36 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 63 46 46 | L 76 57 06 |
| Iva Jovic | W 61 64 | L 16 26 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 62 62 | L 36 06 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 63 62 | L 57 06 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 64 | W 63 63 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 63 64 | W 63 75 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | W 64 63 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 63 76 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–65 matches
| Metric | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 53% |
| Sets won | 68% | 55% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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