Coco Gauff vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#4 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
6Title2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Coco Gauff and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2023; Coco Gauff leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Gauff leads 2–0. Gauff has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 4 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Coco Gauff won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gauff | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Coco Gauff | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 33/52 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 30/68 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 32/59 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 88% | 7/8 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 40/43 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 2, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2023
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gauff | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Coco Gauff | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–3 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +14.3% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.44u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gauff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Maria's 40%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | W 62 62 | L 36 06 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 63 62 | L 57 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 75 26 26 | L 76 57 06 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 64 | W 63 63 |
| Iva Jovic | W 57 75 62 | L 16 26 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 63 64 | W 63 75 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | W 64 63 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 63 76 | W 64 63 |
| Elise Mertens | W 26 76 63 | L 57 06 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 64 63 | L 26 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Marie Bouzkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–68 matches
| Metric | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 50% |
| Sets won | 69% | 52% |
| Games won | 58% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gauff | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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