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Head-to-Head

Clara Tauson vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Clara Tauson and Madison Keys have met 2 times since 2025; Clara Tauson leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Tauson leads 2–0. Tauson has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tauson has taken 4 sets to Keys's 0. Their most recent meeting: Clara Tauson won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months

IndicatorTausonKeys
Wins in straight sets69%74%
Wins a set when losing50%56%
Goes to a deciding set42%36%
Covers βˆ’1.5 sets as favorite37%57%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog67%38%
Tiebreak sets won40%46%
Wins after taking set 178%81%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 161%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tauson 2, Keys 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Tauson

πŸ€– Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Keys

πŸ’₯ Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

πŸ€– Servebot vs πŸ’₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Aug 5, 2025

Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal

H Hard Β· Quarterfinals

61
64
Tauson

Jan 4, 2025

ASB Classic - Auckland

H Hard Β· Quarterfinals

64
767
Tauson

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days

OutcomeTausonKeys
1 or more91%100%
3 or more82%70%
5 or more64%50%
10 or more27%20%
15 or more9%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days

MetricTausonKeys
W-L4–86–4
Avg odds1.911.40
ROI %-43.6%-24.8%
Units P/L-5.23u-2.48u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricTausonKeys
Countries2β€”
Events2β€”
Matches2β€”
Distance654 mi Β· 1,053 kmβ€”
RouteROU β†’ CZEβ€”

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months

Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tauson's 40%).

OpponentTausonKeys
Qinwen Zheng
W
57
64
62
L
61
67
57
Diane Parry
L
36
57
L
Sara Bejlek
W
62
63
L
63
46
67
Linda Noskova
L
67
26
L
46
67
Katerina Siniakova
L
46
16
W
61
63
Peyton Stearns
W
76
16
75
W
46
64
62
Daria Snigur
L
63
57
26
W
46
63
63
Nikola Bartunkova
L
36
46
L
36
61
46
Karolina Muchova
L
61
26
46
W
64
75
Mccartney Kessler
W
63
64
W
63
61

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Tauson
LLLLWWLW
L

Marie Bouzkova

Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round

Oct 12

L

Polina Kudermetova

China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round

46
64
46

Oct 2

L

Sloane Stephens

U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round

46
16

Sep 1

L

Diane Parry

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals

36
57

Aug 28

W

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 2nd Round

766
46
63

Aug 27

W

Renata Zarazua

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round

36
63
60

Aug 25

L

Linda Noskova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round

637
26

Aug 18

W

Peyton Stearns

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round

767
16
75

Aug 16

Keys
LWWLWWWL
L

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round

61
637
57

Sep 5

W

Anna Bondar

U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round

57
64
765

Sep 3

W

Alina Korneeva

U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round

75
64

Sep 1

L

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals

63
46
657

Aug 21

W

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round

763
64

Aug 20

W

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round

61
63

Aug 18

W

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round

46
63
63

Aug 16

L

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round

36
16

Aug 7

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ TausonTauson ahead↓ Keys

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 36–50 matches

MetricTausonKeys
Matches won44%68%
Sets won48%65%
Games won50%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageTausonKeys
WTA 25010
WTA 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceTausonKeys
Hard20

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Clara Tauson vs Madison Keys FAQ

Clara Tauson leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.