Clara Tauson vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇰Clara Tauson
#42 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Clara Tauson and Madison Keys have met 2 times since 2025; Clara Tauson leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Tauson leads 2–0. Tauson has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tauson has taken 4 sets to Keys's 0. Their most recent meeting: Clara Tauson won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tauson | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Clara Tauson | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 13/29 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tauson 2, Keys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tauson
🤖 Servebot
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 4, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tauson | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Clara Tauson | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -14.1% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.25u | -1.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tauson's 40%).
| Opponent | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Diane Parry | L 36 57 | W 64 63 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 62 63 | L 63 46 67 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 26 | L 46 67 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 46 16 | W 61 63 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 76 16 75 | W 46 64 62 |
| Daria Snigur | L 63 57 26 | W 46 63 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 46 | L 36 61 46 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 64 60 | W 61 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 26 46 | W 64 75 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 64 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Renata Zarazua
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Peyton Stearns
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–47 matches
| Metric | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 68% |
| Sets won | 52% | 65% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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