Clara Tauson vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π©π°Clara Tauson
#53 Β· 23 yrs Β· Right-Handed
42 meetings Β· sets 4β0

πΊπΈMadison Keys
#20 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
6wClara Tauson and Madison Keys have met 2 times since 2025; Clara Tauson leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Tauson leads 2β0. Tauson has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tauson has taken 4 sets to Keys's 0. Their most recent meeting: Clara Tauson won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tauson | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Clara Tauson | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tauson 2, Keys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tauson
π€ Servebot
Keys
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jan 4, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tauson | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Clara Tauson | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β8 | 6β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -43.6% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.23u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 2 | β |
| Distance | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km | β |
| Route | ROU β CZE | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tauson's 40%).
| Opponent | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | W 57 64 62 | L 61 67 57 |
| Diane Parry | L 36 57 | L |
| Sara Bejlek | W 62 63 | L 63 46 67 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 26 | L 46 67 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 46 16 | W 61 63 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 76 16 75 | W 46 64 62 |
| Daria Snigur | L 63 57 26 | W 46 63 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 46 | L 36 61 46 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 26 46 | W 64 75 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 64 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marie Bouzkova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round
Oct 12
Polina Kudermetova
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 2nd Round
Aug 27
Renata Zarazua
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Peyton Stearns
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 36β50 matches
| Metric | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 68% |
| Sets won | 48% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tauson | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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