Claire Liu vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Claire Liu
#96 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4wClaire Liu and Marta Kostyuk have met 3 times since 2022; Marta Kostyuk leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Melbourne Summer Set 2 - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Liu has taken 3 sets to Kostyuk's 5. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Liu | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Claire Liu | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 23/38 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 24/60 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 19/41 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 6/16 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Liu 0, Kostyuk 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
💥 Big Hitter
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
May 12, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 5, 2022
Melbourne Summer Set 2 - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Liu | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Claire Liu | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | -12.7% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.52u | -1.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA → ROU → CZE | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Liu and Kostyuk posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 61 61 | L 76 67 67 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 60 26 75 | W 67 63 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 76 26 | L 26 26 |
| Yulia Putintseva | L 57 26 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Rebecca Sramkova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Elsa Jacquemot
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Final
Sep 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Semifinals
Sep 11
Kaitlin Quevedo
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Varvara Lepchenko
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–60 matches
| Metric | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 78% |
| Sets won | 59% | 72% |
| Games won | 54% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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