Claire Liu vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Claire Liu
#111 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
7w3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Claire Liu and Marta Kostyuk have met 3 times since 2022; Marta Kostyuk leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Melbourne Summer Set 2 - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Liu has taken 3 sets to Kostyuk's 5. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Liu | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Claire Liu | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 11/26 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 23/42 | 33% | 16/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 8/26 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 10/15 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 7/16 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Liu 0, Kostyuk 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
💥 Big Hitter
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
May 12, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 5, 2022
Melbourne Summer Set 2 - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Liu | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Claire Liu | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -3.7% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.33u | +0.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Liu's 0%).
| Opponent | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 36 76 26 | L 26 26 |
| Yulia Putintseva | L 57 26 | W 61 63 |
| Ella Seidel | L 67 36 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yulia Putintseva
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Sinja Kraus
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 7
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Zeynep Sonmez
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Hanne Vandewinkel
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Pridankina
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Kaitlin Quevedo
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Despina Papamichail
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–49 matches
| Metric | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 78% |
| Sets won | 56% | 71% |
| Games won | 52% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Liu | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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