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Head-to-Head

Christopher O'Connell vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Christopher O'Connell

🇦🇺Christopher O'Connell

#105 · 32 yrs · R

3
0–2

2 meetings · sets 0–5

Mackenzie McDonald

🇺🇸Mackenzie McDonald

#146 · 31 yrs · R

4

Christopher O'Connell and Mackenzie McDonald have met 2 times since 2017; Mackenzie McDonald leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Fairfield in 2017 on hard. McDonald has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 0 sets to McDonald's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Wimbledon (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorO'ConnellMcDonald
Wins in straight sets78%68%
Wins a set when losing27%24%
Goes to a deciding set24%28%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite65%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog48%29%
Tiebreak sets won50%41%
Wins after taking set 186%87%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 182%74%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 0, McDonald 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

O'Connell

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

McDonald

⚙️ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Christopher O'Connell.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Jun 25, 2026

Wimbledon

G Grass · 3rd Round Qualifying

36
46
46
McDonald

Oct 14, 2017

Fairfield

H Hard · Semifinals

46
57
McDonald

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeO'ConnellMcDonald
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%50%
5 or more80%38%
10 or more50%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricO'ConnellMcDonald
W-L8–55–6
Avg odds2.271.96
ROI %+18.5%-24.7%
Units P/L+2.41u-2.72u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricO'ConnellMcDonald
Countries21
Events21
Matches31
Distance712 mi · 1,146 km0 mi · 0 km
RouteCAN → USACAN

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both O'Connell and McDonald posted a 50% win rate.

OpponentO'ConnellMcDonald
Jacob Fearnley
L
67
67
L
46
57
Bernard Tomic
W
64
64
W
75
76
Elias Ymer
L
67
36
L
67
64
46
Martin Landaluce
L
26
36
W
36
62
75
Cameron Norrie
W
76
64
L
26
36
Nikoloz Basilashvili
W
64
64
L
26
67
Vitaliy Sachko
W
63
75
W
62
61
Quentin Halys
L
36
46
L
36
26
Rigele Te
W
64
64
W
64
64
Botic van de Zandschulp
L
26
26
W
64
36
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

O'Connell
LWLWLWWW
L

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
36

Aug 20

W

Kamil Majchrzak

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

64
765

Aug 14

L

James Duckworth

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

36
16

Aug 3

W

Joel Schwaerzler

Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying

7763
64

Jun 29

L

Mackenzie McDonald

Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying

36
46
46

Jun 25

W

Bernard Tomic

Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying

64
64

Jun 24

W

Otto Virtanen

Nottingham 2 Challenger · Final

763
766

Jun 20

W

Remy Bertola

Nottingham 2 Challenger · Semifinals

64
75

Jun 19

McDonald
LLLLWWWL
L

Jacob Fearnley

Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round

46
57

Aug 20

L

Alex Michelsen

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

46
57

Jul 28

L

Adam Walton

Newport Challenger · 1st Round

16
36

Jul 8

L

Patrick Kypson

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

63
16
46
46

Jun 30

W

Roberto Carballes Baena

Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying

64
64

Jun 29

W

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying

62
6577
63

Jun 29

W

Christopher O'Connell

Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying

63
64
64

Jun 25

L

Shintaro Mochizuki

Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round

637
57

Jun 16

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ O'ConnellMcDonald ahead↓ McDonald

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–53 matches

MetricO'ConnellMcDonald
Matches won49%49%
Sets won50%48%
Games won49%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageO'ConnellMcDonald
Grand Slam01
ATP Challenger Tour01

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceO'ConnellMcDonald
Hard01
Grass01

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Christopher O'Connell vs Mackenzie McDonald FAQ

Mackenzie McDonald leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.