Christopher O'Connell vs Jacob FearnleyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Christopher O'Connell and Jacob Fearnley have met 2 times since 2024; Jacob Fearnley leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Basel in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Fearnley leads 2–0. Fearnley has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 1 sets to Fearnley's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at Adelaide International (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 12/44 | 44% | 24/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 10/17 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 13/24 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 96% | 23/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 79% | 19/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 0, Fearnley 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
🤖 Servebot
Fearnley
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Christopher O'Connell.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 11, 2026
Adelaide International
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 19, 2024
Basel
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | O'Connell | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Christopher O'Connell | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | +26.8% | +0.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | +0.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both O'Connell and Fearnley posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Landaluce | L 26 36 | W 46 62 46 75 63 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 75 64 | W 36 63 107 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 46 36 | L 36 76 16 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 36 46 46 | W 64 75 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 76 | L 67 57 63 67 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 76 63 | L 36 63 26 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 67 62 75 | W 67 61 62 |
| Remy Bertola | W 64 75 | W 64 64 |
| Darwin Blanch | L 67 64 36 | W 63 63 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 64 64 | L 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zsombor Piros
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefanos Sakellaridis
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Casper Ruud
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Dane Sweeny
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Martin Landaluce
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Luka Pavlovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Roberto Carballes Baena
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–60 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 57% |
| Sets won | 52% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.