Christopher O'Connell vs Jacob FearnleyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Christopher O'Connell and Jacob Fearnley have met 2 times since 2024; Jacob Fearnley leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Basel in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Fearnley leads 2–0. Fearnley has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 1 sets to Fearnley's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at Adelaide International (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 11/45 | 46% | 23/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 100% | 20/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 80% | 16/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 0, Fearnley 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
🤖 Servebot
Fearnley
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Christopher O'Connell.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 11, 2026
Adelaide International
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 19, 2024
Basel
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | O'Connell | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Christopher O'Connell | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 96% | 24/25 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 72% | 18/25 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 48% | 12/25 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 4% | 1/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 18–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | +2.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 145 mi · 233 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs O'Connell's 40%).
| Opponent | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 46 36 | L 36 76 16 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 36 46 46 | W 64 75 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 76 | L 67 57 63 67 |
| Remy Bertola | W 64 75 | W 64 64 |
| Darwin Blanch | L 67 64 36 | W 63 63 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 64 64 | L 16 67 |
| Dane Sweeny | L 76 36 46 | W 67 61 62 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 36 | L 26 26 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 62 64 | W 63 63 |
| Quentin Halys | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Joel Schwaerzler
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Nottingham 2 Challenger · Final
Jun 20
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 19
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alexis Galarneau
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–54 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 57% |
| Sets won | 50% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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