Caty Mcnally vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈCaty Mcnally
#70 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 0β4

π¨πΏKarolina Pliskova
#49 Β· 34 yrs Β· Right-Handed
6wCaty Mcnally and Karolina Pliskova have met 2 times since 2021; Karolina Pliskova leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. Pliskova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 0 sets to Pliskova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Pliskova won at Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 25/54 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 13/35 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 8/11 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 17/31 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Pliskova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
πͺ Counterpuncher
Pliskova
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
πͺ Counterpuncher vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2026
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham
G Grass Β· 2nd Round
Aug 31, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8β5 | 2β3 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.73 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | -35.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | -1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 3 | β |
| Distance | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km | β |
| Route | ROU β CZE | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Mcnally and Pliskova posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Mcnally | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 64 | W 67 63 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | L 06 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 76 36 | L 16 36 |
| Janice Tjen | W 75 67 63 | W 64 64 |
| Solana Sierra | W 64 63 | W 64 63 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 64 61 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yue Yuan
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Dayana Yastremska
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Hanne Vandewinkel
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham Β· Semifinals
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 32β54 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 63% |
| Sets won | 54% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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