Caty Mcnally vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#64 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–6
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Caty Mcnally and Iga Swiatek have met 3 times since 2022; Iga Swiatek leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Ostrava Open - Ostrava in 2022 on hard. Swiatek has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 2 sets to Swiatek's 6. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 79% | 34/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 25/50 | 33% | 20/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 57% | 33/58 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 86% | 38/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 77% | 34/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Swiatek 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🏹 Frontrunner
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | +2.5% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 9 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mcnally's 30%).
| Opponent | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Emiliana Arango | W 63 60 | W 63 60 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 36 46 | W 61 16 61 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 62 26 46 | W 62 61 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 75 46 | L 67 26 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 36 | W 36 61 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | L 57 16 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 67 | W 61 63 |
| Emma Navarro | W 46 60 64 | L 57 62 36 |
| Janice Tjen | W 75 67 63 | W 60 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 06 | L 63 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Linda Noskova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tatjana Maria
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kristina Liutova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–60 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 72% |
| Sets won | 52% | 69% |
| Games won | 51% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.