Caty Mcnally vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#70 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–6
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Caty Mcnally and Iga Swiatek have met 3 times since 2022; Iga Swiatek leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Ostrava Open - Ostrava in 2022 on hard. Swiatek has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 2 sets to Swiatek's 6. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 25/54 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 13/35 | 57% | 32/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 8/11 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 17/31 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Swiatek 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🪃 Counterpuncher
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 15–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | +0.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mcnally's 40%).
| Opponent | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Yue Yuan | W 62 63 | W 76 63 |
| Emma Navarro | L 63 26 36 | L 57 62 36 |
| Xiyu Wang | W 46 63 76 | W 62 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | W |
| Emiliana Arango | W 63 60 | W 63 60 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 36 46 | W 61 16 61 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 75 46 | L 67 26 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 36 | W 36 61 62 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 67 | W 61 63 |
| Janice Tjen | W 75 67 63 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yue Yuan
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Dayana Yastremska
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–58 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 72% |
| Sets won | 54% | 70% |
| Games won | 52% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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