Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Joao Fonseca have met 2 times since 2026; Joao Fonseca leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2026 on clay. Fonseca has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 1 sets to Fonseca's 5. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 0, Fonseca 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Joao Fonseca are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 31, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | -21.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fonseca's 50%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | L 63 46 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 67 76 76 | W 76 75 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 62 76 57 06 62 | L 36 36 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 67 | L 46 36 67 |
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | W 62 63 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 63 62 64 | L 63 36 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | W 76 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 67 67 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 61 16 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 63% |
| Sets won | 64% | 61% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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