Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Joao Fonseca have met 2 times since 2026; Joao Fonseca leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2026 on clay. Fonseca has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 1 sets to Fonseca's 5. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 0, Fonseca 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 31, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 4–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +4.7% | +18.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | +0.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fonseca's 50%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | L 63 46 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 67 76 76 | W 76 75 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 62 76 57 06 62 | L 36 36 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 67 | L 46 36 67 |
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | W 62 63 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 63 62 64 | L 63 36 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | W 76 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 67 67 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 61 16 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Dominic Stricker
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 63% |
| Sets won | 64% | 60% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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