Casper Ruud vs Fabio FogniniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ณ๐ดCasper Ruud
#24 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
5 meetings ยท sets 8โ6
๐ฎ๐นFabio Fognini
Unranked
14wCasper Ruud and Fabio Fognini have met 5 times since 2020; Casper Ruud leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney in 2020 on hard. On clay courts Ruud leads 2โ0. On grass courts Fognini leads 2โ0. Fognini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 8 sets to Fognini's 6. Their most recent meeting: Fabio Fognini won at Wimbledon (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Fognini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Fabio Fognini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 3, Fognini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
๐ค Servebot
Fognini
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Casper Ruud.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Round of 64
Jul 3, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Apr 16, 2021
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 24, 2020
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jan 5, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | - |
| ROI % | +4.7% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 7,032 mi ยท 11,317 km | โ |
| Route | GBR โ JPN โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Jamie Mackenzie
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Daniel Altmaier
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Arthur Fery
Nottingham 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Corentin Moutet
Boss Open - Stuttgart ยท 1st Round
Jun 10
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Roland Garros ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Bu Yunchaokete
Turin Challenger ยท 2nd Round
May 15
Oleg Prihodko
Turin Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 1โ53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 0% |
| Sets won | 64% | 0% |
| Games won | 55% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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