Caroline Dolehide vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈCaroline Dolehide
#245 Β· 27 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3 meetings Β· sets 1β6

πΊπΈMadison Keys
#23 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Caroline Dolehide and Madison Keys have met 3 times since 2017; Madison Keys leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Stanford in 2017 on hard. On clay courts Keys leads 2β0. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Dolehide has taken 1 sets to Keys's 6. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dolehide | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caroline Dolehide | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 10/14 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 6/14 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 10/28 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 8/15 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 5/11 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 8/12 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 11/16 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 10/16 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dolehide 0, Keys 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dolehide
π₯ Big Hitter
Keys
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Caroline Dolehide and Madison Keys are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
May 30, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay Β· Round of 64
Aug 3, 2017
Stanford
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dolehide | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caroline Dolehide | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7β5 | 13β6 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +2.3% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.27u | -1.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | β | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Dolehide's 0%).
| Opponent | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Diane Parry | L 46 67 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Landisville Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Polina Iatcenko
W100 Landisville Β· 2nd Round
Aug 7
Savannah Broadus
W100 Landisville Β· 1st Round
Aug 5
Jia Jing Lu
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Yeon Woo Ku
W100 Evansville Β· Final
Jul 26
Renata Zarazua
W100 Evansville Β· Semifinals
Jul 25
Elvina Kalieva
W100 Evansville Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 28β47 matches
| Metric | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 68% |
| Sets won | 52% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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