Caroline Dolehide vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caroline Dolehide
#215 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6wCaroline Dolehide and Madison Keys have met 3 times since 2017; Madison Keys leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Stanford in 2017 on hard. On clay courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Dolehide has taken 1 sets to Keys's 6. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dolehide | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caroline Dolehide | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 13/19 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 14/36 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 4/10 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 8/12 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dolehide 0, Keys 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dolehide
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Caroline Dolehide and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 30, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Aug 3, 2017
Stanford
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dolehide | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caroline Dolehide | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.17u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | UKR → TUR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Dolehide's 0%).
| Opponent | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Diane Parry | L 46 67 | L |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 57 16 | W 64 61 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 63 36 | L 36 61 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Kate Fakih
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Jo Yee Chan
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Magdalena Frech
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Renata Zarazua
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Mingge Xu
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Veronika Podrez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–50 matches
| Metric | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 68% |
| Sets won | 53% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dolehide | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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