Botic van de Zandschulp vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Botic van de Zandschulp and Lorenzo Sonego have met 2 times since 2024; Lorenzo Sonego leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Paris in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Sonego leads 2–0. Sonego has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 2 sets to Sonego's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Open 13 Provence - Marseille (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/54 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 17/24 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 0, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 10, 2025
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 26, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 12/21 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–7 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | +30.4% | -42.4% |
| Units P/L | +6.70u | -5.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zandschulp has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sonego's 40%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 46 57 | L 46 46 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 46 63 63 | L 75 57 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 57 16 | L 46 63 76 57 46 |
| Jan Choinski | W 63 61 76 | W 46 64 64 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 76 62 63 | W 63 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 76 | L 63 67 46 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 26 76 46 | L 67 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 76 36 | L 64 36 46 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 67 64 60 | W 76 61 |
| Mariano Navone | L 75 67 57 | W 76 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–65 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 44% |
| Sets won | 55% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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