Bernard Tomic vs Yuta ShimizuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bernard Tomic and Yuta Shimizu have met 2 times since 2026; Bernard Tomic leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Little Rock Challenger in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Tomic leads 2–0. Tomic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tomic has taken 4 sets to Shimizu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Bernard Tomic won at Jingshan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomic | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bernard Tomic | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 19/33 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 38% | 21/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 12/27 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 23/28 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 60% | 18/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomic 0, Shimizu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomic
🤖 Servebot
Shimizu
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Bernard Tomic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2026
Jingshan Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 27, 2026
Little Rock Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomic | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bernard Tomic | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 22/23 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 19/23 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 74% | 17/23 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 10 or more | 35% | 8/23 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/23 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomic | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–7 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | +24.6% | -4.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.91u | -0.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomic | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 11 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,578 mi · 2,540 km | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km |
| Route | CHN | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimizu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tomic's 40%).
| Opponent | Tomic | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | W 64 67 63 | W 57 64 64 |
| Jake Delaney | W 63 62 | W 62 76 |
| Philip Sekulic | L 63 67 46 | L 26 62 57 |
| Kasidit Samrej | L 57 67 | W 64 64 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 64 36 64 | W 75 64 |
| Michael Mmoh | L 36 36 | L 67 67 |
| Kaichi Uchida | W 63 62 | L 16 26 |
| Dane Sweeny | L 75 36 26 | W 75 75 |
| Federico Cina | L 26 46 | L 16 46 |
| Marat Sharipov | L 26 46 | L 62 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Timofey Skatov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Terence Atmane
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yuta Shimizu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Fajing Sun
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fajing Sun
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Rigele Te
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Bernard Tomic
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Philip Sekulic
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Arthur Weber
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Hiroki Moriya
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Kasidit Samrej
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Aditya Vishal Balsekar
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Anton Matusevich
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–58 matches
| Metric | Tomic | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 53% |
| Sets won | 54% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomic | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomic | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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