Benjamin Bonzi vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π«π·Benjamin Bonzi
#92 Β· 30 yrs Β· R
53 meetings Β· sets 4β2

πΊπΈReilly Opelka
#156 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
21wBenjamin Bonzi and Reilly Opelka have met 3 times since 2025; Benjamin Bonzi leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Bonzi leads 2β0. Across all meetings Bonzi has taken 4 sets to Opelka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Benjamin Bonzi won at European Open - Brussels (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bonzi | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Benjamin Bonzi | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 22/34 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 18/30 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 22/31 | 67% | 8/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bonzi 2, Opelka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bonzi
π₯ Big Hitter
Opelka
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 13, 2025
European Open - Brussels
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 13, 2025
Bordeaux
C Clay Β· Round of 16
Oct 2, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Bonzi | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10β7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | - |
| ROI % | +8.5% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.44u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bonzi | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 1 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | POR | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Bonzi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Opelka's 25%).
| Opponent | Bonzi | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 64 | W 76 67 63 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 76 | L 76 67 67 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 36 63 | L 67 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 67 67 | L 57 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 28
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 4
Alex Molcan
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· Semifinals
Aug 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Rinky Hijikata
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 3rd Round
Aug 26
Quentin Halys
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 2nd Round
Aug 25
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris Β· 1st Round
May 24
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 1st Round
Apr 23
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona Β· 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona Β· Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo Β· Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami Β· 1st Round
Mar 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 23β63 matches
| Metric | Bonzi | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 52% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bonzi | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bonzi | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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