Belinda Bencic vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇭Belinda Bencic
#12 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 5–8
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Belinda Bencic and Madison Keys have met 6 times since 2015; Madison Keys leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Keys leads 2–1. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 5 sets to Keys's 8. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 21/51 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 23/39 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 9/11 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 2, Keys 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
👑 The Complete Package
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 13, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 7, 2022
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 2, 2021
Qatar Total Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 24, 2015
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 32
May 27, 2015
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +11.2% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.67u | -1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bencic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Keys's 60%).
| Opponent | Bencic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | W 76 62 | L 63 46 67 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 63 67 | L 46 67 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 62 | W 36 62 63 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 75 60 | W 76 61 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 26 61 62 | W 60 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 67 | L 67 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 36 75 75 | W 64 75 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | L 36 63 06 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 63 63 | W 46 64 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 57 64 75 | W 16 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mika Stojsavljevic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elina Svitolina
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–51 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 68% |
| Sets won | 70% | 65% |
| Games won | 58% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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