Belinda Bencic vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇭Belinda Bencic
#12 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 6–6
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Belinda Bencic and Daria Kasatkina have met 6 times since 2016; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Bencic leads 3–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Bencic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 6 sets to Kasatkina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Belinda Bencic won at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 20/49 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 31/37 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 26/37 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 3, Kasatkina 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
👑 The Complete Package
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Belinda Bencic.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · Final
Jun 2, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 13, 2020
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 1, 2017
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 19, 2016
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 13, 2016
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.34 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -9.2% | -31.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | -3.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bencic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kasatkina's 30%).
| Opponent | Bencic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | L 46 36 | L 76 26 46 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 61 76 | W 64 62 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 63 64 | L 57 06 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 62 | L 62 67 36 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 64 46 76 | L 46 16 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 63 63 | W 61 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 60 | L 26 36 |
| Elise Mertens | W 62 63 | W 64 60 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 36 60 63 | L 75 16 16 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 60 46 | L 67 60 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anastasia Zakharova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yulia Putintseva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–49 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 51% |
| Sets won | 69% | 51% |
| Games won | 57% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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